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Change in Conservative vote share 2015-19, higher than average (blue) and lower than average (red)

The difference between 2015 and 2019 vote share, adjusted for national swing reveals which areas are more or less Conservative than they were pre-Brexit.

Most of the seats that became 10 points less Conservative than average are in and around the Greater South East, except Altrincham & Sale West and Rushcliffe. This list includes two seats of former Conservative Prime Ministers – Witney and Maidenhead – while Uxbridge became 4.96 points less Conservative than average. By contrast, the Conservatives have strengthened their position all along the English east coast, around the Black Country, and Staffordshire.

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